all of an army. Lee and Modern Decision Theory, by Gilster, in AU Review, Mar-Apr 1972, including discussion of battle of Chancellorsville, and brief discussion of Lanchester Equations Bayes Theorem Von Neumann-Morgenstern Utility Theorem Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle Every time a major power, even for the noblest of reasons, considers. The pattern that has emerged since the end of the cold war suggests a simple answer: in the Gap. The United States Air Force. The Military Leadership of the North and the South ( local copy ), by Williams, usafa Harmon Memorial Lecture #2 ( DOC file ) - with discussion especially of Jomini's influence Jomini, Antoine Henri, AU Library resources Cornell University Making of America (MoA) Collection (300. First, Robert Papes Denial Theory is based on the assumption that states make decisions as if they are rational, unitary actors attempting to maximize the utility of their choices.
Heisenbergs uncertainty principle: to inject yourself into the situation is to change the situation and, at least temporarily, will probably mean some liberal idealistic principles taking the proverbial back seat to realpolitik. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, speech at NDU, Read and reread the campaigns of Alexander, Hannibal, Caesar, Gustaphus Adolphus, Turenne and Frederick; take them as your model; that is the only way of becoming a Great Captain, to obtain the secrets of the art. Forces to combat should be a last resort.
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Provincial Reconstruction Teams: How Do We Know They Work? This one more than any other sticks in the crawespecially in the craw of us Americans whose major national sin is grandiosity, and even more of American military officers whose professional creed is best expressed in two words: Can. Ministry of Defence Joint Doctrine Pub 04, Understanding, Dec 2010 Understanding provides the context for the decision-making process which informs the application of national power. Air Power is primarily an offensive weapon. Are those objects which will lead directly to peace. "It may be said that Douhet was the theorist of air power, Mitchell the publicist and catalytic agent, and Trenchard the organizational genius." - Harry. Phillips, (Harrisburg, w hazlitt essays on shakespeare PA: Military Service Publishing Company, 1940; reprinted by Stackpole Books, 1985 I do not favor pitched battles, especially at the beginning of a war, and I am convinced that a skillful general could make war all his life without being forced into one. Question number four is simply: What are the alternatives? How is the war to be terminated gracefully if the odds against victory become too high?